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Important: If you are waiting for the Sumang Walk Executive Condo (EC), you have to be careful. Please take note below are simply my best guess estimates.
I recently met with quite a few readers whose flat has already hit the 5-year MOP.
Many of them were telling me they were waiting for the launch of the Sumang Walk EC by CDL.
To the typical agent – this is good news. Why? We have ready buyers who are ready to close on an Executive Condo unit.
Most of the time, we don’t even need to sell their HDB first.
They only need to book and buy the EC first. They can then sell the HDB only when closer to the key collection date.
But why I raise the red flag about Sumang Walk EC?
I simply feel that there are much better products out there. But you need to be open enough to explore all the other choices.
#1: Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR)
If you wish to purchase an EC, you will need to consider the MSR.
The Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) framework limits how much of one’s gross monthly income that can be used to service a home loan.
Under the MSR framework, a buyer can only use up to 30% of their gross monthly income to repay their loans. This is applicable only in cases where the borrower is purchasing HDB flats and ECs.
For example, if you are in your 40s and you have a monthly household income of $10K.
The maximum loan you are able to get is only $600K.
If you are getting full maximum loan of 75%, then you are only able to get an EC unit that costs $800K.
#2: Estimated Launch Price Is About $1150 PSF
My estimated launch price is derived from the land price of $583 PPR.
Based on my calculations, the developers will need to minimally sell at about $1150 PSF.
How did I calculate this?
I based on:
Rio Casa enbloc at $706 PSF PPR and launched as Riverfront Residences – sold at average $1307.
Tampines Court enbloc at $676 PSF PPR and launched as Treasure at Tampines – sold at average $1280.
CDL bought the West Coast Vale land plot at $800 PSF PPR and launched it as Whistler Grand at $1380 PSF PPR.
The Woodleigh land plot was sold at $1100 PSF PPR and launched as Park Colonial at $1750 PSF.
They are all around $600 PSF more from the land price.
So if Sumang Walk EC were to sell lower, the developer might be losing money!
Otherwise, this means that Riverfront Residences (by Oxley) and Treasure At Tampines (by Sim Lian) is making more profits – even in a market where most buyers are at the sidelines.
If I use $800k / $1150 PSF = 695 sqft
For this size in the market – this means it should only be a 2-room unit. The maximum it can go to is a 2-room plus study.
This means you can only be getting a 2 bedroom at that Sumang Walk EC.
If you want 3-bedrooms, the developer should build around a 900sqft unit.
900sf X $1150 PSF = $1.035 Million
So to buy a 3-room EC and assuming you can only get $600k loan – this means you will need a downpayment of $435K Cash & CPF.
That is really a lot of money. That actually excludes the stamp duties you might need to pay as well.
There is no resale levy applicable if you choose to upgrade from HDB to a private condo.
Of course, having a lower loan liability is always good.
But what if we can do more with our extra funds instead of going into the downpayment?
I think it is better to let some of these monies not to be tied down – than putting them into the house as downpayment right?
#3: 5-Year MOP and 2-Years Building Time
After the EC is launched for sales and we proceed to book – we still need to wait about 2 years to build and another 5 years for the MOP to complete.
If I booked the EC at 40 years old, by the time I am ready to sell – I will be 47 years old.
Assuming I want to sell a small 3-room to upgrade to a bigger and more comfortable unit in future…
I will really feel the stress of only being able to take a loan of up to 65 years old.
I can only take a maximum loan tenure of 18 years!
Other restrictions on buying an EC also includes: You will have to form a nuclear family, which means both of your names will be tied up in the EC purchase.
Gone were the days when EC land is cheap and the developer can afford to sell you at cheap prices with big units. It was worth it to buy and wait.
“But only Singaporeans have this privilege of doing so and they know that, in due course, prices will go up, and to above the level of a Lexus. So, I think it’s a very good scheme and we should ensure its continuity,” he said. – From AsiaOne published on 15 Jan 2013
So what should we do?
Assuming if we can afford to buy the EC?
Don’t Rush In With The Majority Crowd
Instead of rushing with the rest and beg the developer to sell to you – why not look at other developments?
Some developments are not as popular as this upcoming Sumang Walk EC.
Not Willing To Wait for 2-3 Years?
If you belong to the group that wish to avoid the ABSD and you are not willing to wait for the building to be constructed, you can consider the newly-completed private condo developments.
An example is High Park Residences – keys are now ready for collection and the prices are reasonable.
This is just 1 of the examples that are available.
Some of these completed units might be selling at prices cheaper than the projected launch price of the Sumang Walk EC.
They are also quite new – maybe only 1 years old currently.
Larger Loans Is Possible – To Free Up Cash For Other Uses
Did you know that with the same income and age – instead of getting a $600k loan, you are able to get a $1.2 million loan?
This is because private property loans falls under TDSR rulings.
I am not encouraging you to take more loan. You can still buy $1 million property.
But your downpayment will only be $250K instead of $400K.
The rest of of your available monies can be put inside your CPF OA to still still earn 2.5% interest.
ECs still have it own positive points in the market.
But more importantly, is that we know what we are doing – before we rush in like everyone else.
Don’t just follow blindly.
Yes, with Executive Condos – the idea of buying a Lexus at Toyota prices is attractive.
But it becomes less attractive if the COE prices are also very high. 😉
If you are also one of those people that are waiting patiently for the launch – from what I hear, this Sumang Walk EC – which is called Piermont Grand – will be launched by the end of June 2019.
But before you make any decision, I encourage you to arrange a meet up with me to do a detailed financial assessment to explore what are your other options available.
Gary Seah is the founder of Second Property Investors and has been writing since 2015 to share his insights in the Singapore property market.
He has helped many people to strategize, plan & restructure their property portfolio and get the best profit from it.
Gary has been the agent behind many lucrative upgrading case studies.
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Thank you Mr Gary Seah for the insightful article that succinctly explains why Samsung Walk might not be the right choice for some families. I agree that we should not rush with the majority to purchase. Doing a detailed financial analysis before making any decisions is imperative. However, from what I’ve researched, the calculated annualised capital gains of Punggol properties averages out to 4.6%, which is impressive and is certainly a strong driving factor which will increase buyer demand. Punggol is also currently undergoing huge developments. Could these factors mean that Samsung EC, though expensive, is a good investment opportunity?
I searched for listings around Punggol and successfully found a huge catalogue of listings on Sohoapp.
Other than property listings, Soho is a platform for information on market trends to be shared with buyers and investors. It has helped me with my research on the investment opportunities in Punggol. Check it out as it might serve you well too.
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2 Comments
noah says
Thank you Mr Gary Seah for the insightful article that succinctly explains why Samsung Walk might not be the right choice for some families. I agree that we should not rush with the majority to purchase. Doing a detailed financial analysis before making any decisions is imperative. However, from what I’ve researched, the calculated annualised capital gains of Punggol properties averages out to 4.6%, which is impressive and is certainly a strong driving factor which will increase buyer demand. Punggol is also currently undergoing huge developments. Could these factors mean that Samsung EC, though expensive, is a good investment opportunity?
I searched for listings around Punggol and successfully found a huge catalogue of listings on Sohoapp.
Other than property listings, Soho is a platform for information on market trends to be shared with buyers and investors. It has helped me with my research on the investment opportunities in Punggol. Check it out as it might serve you well too.
Gary Seah says
Thanks Noah for the comment.
Yes – Punggol is having a good growth from the past till now. Thanks to the transformation that the government has put in to Punggol.
So how can we still carry on enjoying the same growth?
This is when it is important to plan well ahead..
Don’t be pulled into the crowd and get a unit anyhow… and then simply expect the growth/gains to easily happen.